[1] 赵宗慈,罗勇,王绍武,等.全球变暖中的科学问题[J].气象与环境学报,2015,31(1):1-5. [2] Moss R H,Edmonds J A,Hibbard K A,et al.The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment[J].Nature,2010,463(7282):747-756. [3] Xu Y,Xu C H.Preliminary assessment of simulations of climate changes over China by CMIP 5 multi-models[J].Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters,2012,5(6):489-494. [4] Song F F,Zhou T J.Interannual variability of East Asian summer monsoon simulated by CMIP 3 and CMIP 5 AGCMs:Skill dependence on Indian Ocean-Western Pacific anticyclone teleconnection[J].Journal of Climate,2014,27(4):1679-1697. [5] IPCC.Climate Change.The physical science basis:working group I contribution to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change[M].Cambridge,UK:Cambridge University Press,2013:89. [6] 陈晓晨,徐影,许崇海,等.CMIP 5全球气候模式对中国地区降水模拟能力的评估[J].气候变化研究进展,2014,10(3):217-225. [7] 丁一汇,任国玉,赵宗慈,等.中国气候变化的检测及预估[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2007,1(1):1-10. [8] 姜大膀,王会军,郎咸梅.全球变暖背景下东亚气候变化的最新情景预测[J].地球物理学报,2004,47(4):590-596. [9] 崔妍,李倩,周晓宇,等.5个全球气候模式对中国东北地区地面温度的模拟与预估[J].气象与环境学报,2013,29(4):37-46. [10] 崔妍,周晓宇,赵春雨,等.5个IPCC AR 4全球气候模式对东北三省降水模拟与预估[J].气象与环境学报,2014,30(4):34-41. [11] Liang X Z,Kunkel K E,Samel A N.Development of a regional climate model for U.S.midwest applications.Part I:Sensitivity to buffer zone treatment[J].Journal of Climate,2001,14(23):4363-4378. [12] 鞠丽霞,王会军.用全球大气环流模式嵌套区域气候模式模拟东亚现代气候[J].地球物理学报,2006,49(1):52-60. [13] Patricola C M,Cook K H.Dynamics of the west African monsoon under mid-Holocene precessional forcing:Regional climate model simulations[J].Journal of Climate,2007,20(4):694-716. [14] 张冬峰,石英.区域气候模式RegCM 3对华北地区未来气候变化的数值模拟[J].地球物理学报,2012,55(9):2854-2866. [15] Gao X J,Xu Y,Zhao Z C,et al.On the role of resolution and topography in the simulation of East Asia precipitation[J].Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2006,86(1/4):173-185. [16] 王世玉,张耀存.不同区域气候模式对中国东部区域气候模拟的比较[J].高原气象,1999,18(1):28-38. [17] 冯锦明,符淙斌.不同区域气候模式对中国地区温度和降水的长期模拟比较[J].大气科学,2007,31(5):805-814. |